Reported Article Public Housing

Section 8 Under Trump: How Policy Uncertainty Is Affecting Affordable Housing

As Trump reshapes the federal landscape, Housing Choice Voucher recipients, landlords, and administrators brace for potential funding cuts and fiscal chaos.

Photo by Creatista via iStockphoto

Idaho is one of the nation’s most seismically active states, so people living in Ada County, home to Boise, aren’t typically surprised when an earthquake hits. But Jan. 27, 2025, was different; though the “shaking” that day was figurative, Deanna Watson, executive director of Boise City/Ada County Housing Authorities (BCACHA), says in some ways it was just as damaging for BCACHA’s clients.

“Once that news came out, it was like an earthquake for so many of our folks, many of whom have come to us out of homelessness,” she says. “The fear they had of finally getting to a stable place and then having the earth kind of shake beneath their feet again—we saw that play out in anxiety behaviors that were just heartbreaking.”

Watson is talking about the memo issued by the Office of Budget Management freezing all federal funding and grant payments. Since the freeze was announced just three days before rents are typically due, tenants in the Housing Choice Voucher program didn’t know whether their rents would get paid on Feb. 1. Tenants in the voucher program (also known as Section 8) are responsible for paying 30 percent of their income toward the monthly rent; the federal government pays the balance.

The White House rescinded the memo on Jan. 29 following a public uproar (and specifically excluded Section 8 verbally prior to rescission), but not before upending a sense of stability for many of the most vulnerable residents. BCACHA administers housing for 2,600-plus clients—many struggle with long-term housing instability and severe, persistent mental health issues, Watson says. BCACHA staff immediately received a barrage of calls when the memo was published. A few clients even came into the office, visibly agitated, “coming across as very angry and sure that they were going to be homeless,” she says. “[One client] had a total meltdown, crying, yelling, screaming. And a number of people were just calling in saying, ‘What’s going to happen on the first? What do I do?’”

Norma-Lee Huffman, a leader at housing justice nonprofit Arkansas Community Organizations, understands being gripped by panic at the threat of potentially becoming homeless again. She’s been there, though not for quite some time. Huffman and her son both receive Medicaid assistance. Their living costs are supplemented by a Section 8 voucher. Huffman says the memo traumatized renters, especially those receiving supplemental support.

“I am a permanently disabled single mother, and I unfortunately have to depend on government assistance for myself and my son,” she says. “When they say they’re going to freeze the government and hold back assistance, there’s that [question]: Is the whole department eventually going to go away?”

Tenants are rightly concerned, says Katie Goldstein, director of housing and health care campaigns at Center for Popular Democracy, a network of economic and racial justice organizations—especially considering what’s called for in Project 2025, a federal policy blueprint created by legacy conservative think tank, The Heritage Foundation. “It seems like they’re following that playbook pretty aggressively,” Goldstein says.

“It’s definitely stressful—so stressful,” Huffman says. “I know I’m dealing with it as best as I can, but there’s millions of other people dealing with it in their own way . . . and it’s stressing them out to where they end up in the hospital because it’s too much.”

The original freeze memo is more than a month in the past, the federal government paid March’s Section 8 rents on time, and no similar broad-brush funding freezes appear to be on the horizon. Nonetheless, given the cuts happening to both grants and staff in other program offices in the U.S. Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), uncertainty and worry continue to ripple through the affordable housing world. Tenants on housing assistance are worried their services will be cut. Landlords with Section 8 tenants worry they won’t get paid. Public housing authorities (PHAs) don’t know if they’ll be able to pay their clients’ rent, their vendors’ invoices, or their employees’ payroll. What’s going to happen in the months to come? What lasting, unseen damage has already been done, and what crucial processes in HUD and other federal departments will the so-called Department of Government Efficiency decimate next?

“The wild card here is [Elon] Musk. Now that he’s got access to our Social Security accounts, you can see him [saying], ‘Oh, there’s waste, fraud, and abuse; let’s cut Social Security,’” says Michael Kane, a longtime tenant activist, director at Mass Alliance of HUD Tenants, and current chair of the Leaders and Organizers for Tenant Empowerment (LOFTE) Network. “[President Donald J. Trump] is in a position to cut entitlements like Social Security under some pretext, so that’s what we have to watch. I think the dynamic on Capitol Hill in March and April is going to be critical to how tenants fare in this. We have to watch it very carefully and be prepared.”

Tenants like Huffman are watching it carefully—and feeling it acutely. “I’m already having to pay out of pocket for things I’ve never had to pay out of pocket for before,” she says. “We are doing the best we can to help these people that have been cut off, that are limited on what they can pay for because of their Medicaid being cut, or Medicaid not wanting to pay as much as they have before.”

As the Trump administration continues to mercilessly gut federal agencies and wantonly fire essential career civil servants at the HUD, many of the effects are obvious. Others aren’t as visible, and some are likely still unknown. But everyone is on edge, scrambling to prepare for the next attack. Amid the uncertainty and fear, subsidized housing tenants, landlords, and PHAs all say they’re doing their best to brace for additional, and potentially more severe, shakeups in the months and years to come.

PHAs and the “Bank of HUD”

The problem is that having no access to your own, already-approved funds is intimidating—especially when the “bank of HUD” goes entirely offline unexpectedly (and during business hours). But that’s what happened at BCACHA and thousands of other PHAs on Jan. 29.

Housing authorities keep very little of their money in accessible bank accounts, thanks to HUD’s “cash management” rules, which require HUD to control federal money “to ensure PHAs do not receive federal funds before they are needed.” Officially it’s the Line of Credit Control System, or LOCCS, but Michael D. Webb, senior policy analyst at the Public Housing Authorities Directors Association (PHADA) and others call it “the bank of HUD.” Even if a PHA has been able to sock away federal funds for emergencies, they’re still only accessible through HUD’s online payment system—the one that locked PHAs out during the funding freeze.

“Even if a housing authority has reserves, the vast majority of those reserves are held in accounts that HUD controls. They’re held in the ‘bank of HUD,’” Webb says. “If you want to get access to those reserves—that money that you’ve saved over the years—you still have to go through HUD’s payment system to draw that money down.”

The obvious immediate side effect of a LOCCS lockout would be that Section 8 recipients’ government-funded portion of the rent wouldn’t get paid. Some housing authorities, like Washington state’s Vancouver Housing Authority, could have footed the bill for a single month of missed payments, but if federal funding were shut off for long enough that contractor bills or monthly debt installments were missed entirely, the secondary effects would reverberate through PHA offices.

Losing Landlords

As a PHA administering local Housing Choice Voucher program payments, you also don’t want to have a reputation for stiffing your landlords. That’s especially true in places without source-of-income protections, allowing landlords to legally refuse to rent to Section 8 voucher holders. Getting that guaranteed, on-time rent payment every month is “a huge draw” for landlords who participate in the voucher program, Webb says. “So any threat that those payments can be interrupted or delayed would result in dramatic decreases in landlords willing to participate in the voucher program,” he says. “Because that really is the selling point.”

LOFTE’s Kane agrees with Webb. “Even a two-day pause is going to frighten landlords away,” he says.

Even a two-day pause is going to frighten landlords away [from the Section 8 program].”

Michael Kane, Leaders and Organizers for Tenant Empowerment Network

Nicole Upano, assistant vice president of housing policy and regulatory affairs at the National Apartment Association (NAA), agrees that landlords have been leaving the Section 8 program in droves, but did not report any departures due to the recent funding freeze. She instead said “programmatic barriers” are the main reason landlords choose not to participate (where they’re able to opt out). Upano said that due to the “rapidly evolving” situation at the federal level, NAA is “trying to figure out how the impacts at the federal level impacts what happens with PHAs and how they administer the program.” She also says NAA is concerned about the “over-regulation of the [Housing Choice Voucher] program” and hopes that HUD under the current leadership will be open to exploring ways to reduce administrative, inspection, and other burdens on participating landlords.

“You’ve got some affordable housing providers who are dedicated to serving these communities,” she says. “They have dedicated employees on staff to do compliance and navigate the thousands of PHAs who administer the program differently all across the country.”

When the freeze took effect, many of PHADA’s member leaders contacted many of their participating landlords to request they not take action against tenants for late payments, Webb says. (It’s worth noting that tenants cannot be evicted if the government fails to pay its portion of the rent.) Unfortunately, landlord participation going forward isn’t something PHAs can control, and many landlords who participate in the voucher program don’t have much financial wiggle room.

“A lot of the landlords in the voucher program, they’ve got fewer than 10 units. They’re renting to voucher holders because, yes, it is a guaranteed payment—but they feel like they’re doing some good for the community,” Webb says. “So, any actions that drive landlord participation down are going to result in helping fewer families.”

The number of families receiving HUD help could take a hit when Congress votes on legislation to fund the federal government through the end of September if HUD funding stays at current levels, Kane says, which seems likely. “Section 8 [funding] has to go up for inflation to just take care of the same number of people,” he says. “So if the dollar amount is frozen, that’s a cut in the number of people served.”

Losing Staff = Losing Institutional Knowledge

Late or missed rent payments and diminished landlord participation are serious looming threats that housing agencies are trying to anticipate and prepare for, but they’re just two on a long list of current PHA concerns. Another one is the delays and uncertainty that will come from the loss of experienced HUD staff as mass terminations proceed. Gutting HUD’s already-shorthanded employee base could generate a wait-time quagmire for PHAs as they both administer existing affordable housing and work on development projects, where the effects could be catastrophic, Andy Silver, executive director of Washington state’s Vancouver Housing Authority warns.

“With all real estate development, there’s inherent risk—you’re buying land while you’re applying for funding, you don’t know what rents are going to look like, you don’t know what interest rates are going to do. You hope that there’s as much certainty and stability as possible, because that allows you to inform decisions about risk and keep your agency stable over time,” he says. “One of the most challenging things of the moment is just so much uncertainty over such a broad area of things that it’s very difficult to make informed decisions about calculated risk.” Without knowing what staffing levels at HUD will look like, whether the administration will slash HUD’s budget, or even if another surprise funding freeze is coming, “it just it really makes it difficult to move forward with our mandate of doing whatever we can to produce more and more affordable housing,” Silver says.

PHADA’s members have similar concerns, especially about HUD’s future staffing levels: losing more employees in the long understaffed department would further slow down administration of local projects, Webb says. And if HUD staffers are laid off or quit en masse, the loss of institutional knowledge could kneecap affordable housing providers, and the repercussions could be felt for years, Webb warns. “We are certainly concerned that any of those staff members could leave,” he says, “particularly in an environment where staffing for the HUD headquarters is so low, when they have decades of institutional knowledge.”

Those disruptions to payments could negatively impact a housing authority’s ability to respond to health and safety issues . . .”

Michael D. Webb, Public Housing Authorities Directors Association

“On the public housing side, those disruptions to payments could negatively impact a housing authority’s ability to respond to health and safety issues—if a boiler goes out in a public housing building, do you have the money there to pay a contractor to fix it?” Webb explains. “It can even result in you stiffing your local contractors for work that’s already ongoing if you can’t have access to payments. And if you’re in a small town and there’s only X number of contractors available to you, you don’t want to have a reputation for stiffing your contractors.”

In Idaho, Watson worries that HUD staffing cuts could leave BCACHA legal counsel responsible for making decisions that could come back to haunt the housing authority years down the road. BCACHA leans heavily on HUD expertise when administering complicated deals, such as when a building that’s been kept affordable by the LIHTC (low income housing tax credit) program is losing its affordability protections. Watson calls HUD to make sure they’re following the rules when setting rents, for example. Absent HUD’s guidance, they must decide internally and hope they’re interpreting the rules correctly.

“So it makes us live in a much more vulnerable space of either not being able to make decisions that have repercussions,” she says, “or making the decisions we think are the best ones only to have that be pointed to as an ineptitude.”

Editor’s note: This story has been changed to identify Michael Kane as the current director at Mass Alliance of HUD Tenants.

Related Articles